4 Gelli Ddaear Goch, Llanharry, Pontyclun, CF72 9WE

UPRN:10024275697Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

4 Gelli Ddaear Goch, Llanharry, Pontyclun, CF72 9WE

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£234,000

£222k - £246kHigh

Estimate

£234k

Range

£222k – £246k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,100

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,100

Yield

5.62%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Gelli Ddaear Goch earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 85/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

85/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

Crime Score

5/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -4.0%, £/sqft -4.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10024275697· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 14.8%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics4.6/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -313/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 221 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
299 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£176,000£270,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£235,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £74,000
Net cash flow: -£32/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10024275697Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 14.8%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 221 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£234,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,100

Gross Yield5.62%

1y Growth+28.9%

3y Growth+1.9%

5y Growth+3.4%

10y Growth+4.4%

Last Sold Price£173,000 (2019-11-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF72 9WE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0920/CPRO
Single storey side extension.
Pending
26/0660/FUL
Single storey extension & garage.
Approved
26/0548/AGR
Prior Notification for Agricultural Storage, Covered Lagoons and Associated Works.
Approved

View Planning Timeline