The Dairy, Bayswater Farm Road, Headington, Oxford, OX3 8BY

UPRN:10033002740Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 3mo ago

The Dairy, Bayswater Farm Road, Headington, Oxford, OX3 8BY

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£796,000

£756k - £835kHigh

Estimate

£796k

Range

£756k – £835k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,250

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,250

Yield

5.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Dairy earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (38/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

38/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 11Bike 58

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +5.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033002740· as of 10 Nov 2026
Rental economics1.3/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.80
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3250/mo (range 2950-3600)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -905/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 91 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
292 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£562,500£862,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£750,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,250/mo

Evidenced range £2,950-£3,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £253,800
Net cash flow: -£281/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033002740Valuation edge · as of 10 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3250/mo (range 2950-3600)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3250/mo (range 2950-3600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 91 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£796,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,250

Gross Yield5.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.3%

5y Growth+0.8%

10y Growth+1.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX3 8BY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02479/FUL
Demolition of the existing garage and rear extension, erection of a single storey side and rear extension. Alterations to fenestration.
Pending
26/02474/TPO
Works to 1no. Lime Tree as specified by Top Leaf Tree Services as identified in Oxford City Council London Road (No.1) Tree Preservation Order 1990. T Large Lime. to crown thin by 20% throughout the canopy. Reducing the side closest to the property and clear by 2.5m and to raise the canopy to approximately 6/7m above ground level.
Pending
26/02412/FUL
Demolition of existing rear extension, erection of a two storey side and a part two, part single rear storey extension.
Pending

View Planning Timeline