147 Ashmead Road, Bedford, MK41 7FD

UPRN:10033187119Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (78)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 5mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£345,000

£327k - £362kHigh

Estimate

£345k

Range

£327k – £362k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

4.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

147 Ashmead Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (30/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

30/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 9Bike 61

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -30.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -29.7%, £/sqft -29.7%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033187119· as of 10 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 5.9%· as of 26 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -926/mo, -62% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 75 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
349 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,400-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£480/mo
Cash on cash: -3.9%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.99 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033187119Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 6 comps, dispersion 5.9%Valuation edge · as of 26 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1400-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 75 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£345,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield4.00%

1y Growth+2.5%

3y Growth+2.0%

5y Growth+2.9%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price£325,000 (2025-07-11)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1MK41 7FD

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/01362/TPO
T1 (Oak) - Ground works and associated root pruning/severance of to facilitate installation of a root barrier 22m in length and 3.5m in depth.
Pending
26/00903/AOC
24/01146/FUL - Condition 11 - SuDS (discharge of condition)
Approved
26/00904/AOC
24/01146/FUL - Condition 13 - Levels (discharge of condition)
Approved

View Planning Timeline