20 Old Johns Close, Middle Barton, Chipping Norton, OX7 7EB

UPRN:10033226229Detached House6 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 2mo ago

20 Old Johns Close, Middle Barton, Chipping Norton, OX7 7EB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£524,000

£472k - £577kMedium

Estimate

£524k

Range

£472k – £577k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,450

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,450

Yield

5.60%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

20 Old Johns Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 71/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (32/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

71/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

32/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 10Bike 21

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge1.2/15
claims [AVM -0.2% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +1.5%, £/sqft +1.4%] → measured edge +0.24pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033226229· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.3%· as of 23 Oct 2026
Rental economics4.2/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2450/mo (range 2250-2650)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -544/mo, -22% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 75 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
250 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£394,000£604,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£525,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,450/mo

Evidenced range £2,250-£2,650

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £175,050
Net cash flow: -£76/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.38 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033226229Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.3%Valuation edge · as of 23 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2450/mo (range 2250-2650)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2450/mo (range 2250-2650)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 75 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£524,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,450

Gross Yield5.60%

1y Growth+13.5%

3y Growth+5.1%

5y Growth+5.2%

10y Growth+4.9%

Last Sold Price£460,000 (2023-07-27)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningUnknown
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0OX7 7EB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02591/TCA
T1 - dead conifer, fell to ground level
Pending
26/02594/TCA
5 Day Notice: T1 Beech - reducing the three leaders to approximately 20 ft high to allow the split to fuse and encourage regrowth
Approved
26/02418/HHD
Erection of a side extension and associated works
Pending

View Planning Timeline