Orchard House, 9A Orchard Lane, East Molesey, KT8 0BN

UPRN:10033319024Detached House3 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Orchard House, 9A Orchard Lane, East Molesey, KT8 0BN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,236,000

£1.17M - £1.30MHigh

Estimate

£1.24M

Range

£1.17M – £1.30M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£5,200

£5k - £6k

Monthly

£5,200

Yield

6.93%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Orchard House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (45/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

30/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

45/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 12Bike 48

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 13 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 27% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +27.2% (HIGH), sold-comps +35.0%, £/sqft +35.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033319024· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 14.5%· as of 5 Nov 2026
Rental economics12.6/40
gross yield 6.9%; range width penalty ×0.82; the estimate this rent rides on sits 27% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5200/mo (range 4700-5700)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 27% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -105/mo, -2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 13 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 250 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 13 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
174 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£675,000£1,035,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£900,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£5,200/mo

Evidenced range £4,700-£5,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £306,300
Net cash flow: £562/mo
Cash on cash: 2.2%
Score at this price: 30

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.71 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033319024Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 14.5%Valuation edge · as of 5 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 5200/mo (range 4700-5700)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 27% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 5200/mo (range 4700-5700)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 27% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,236,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£5,200

Gross Yield6.93%

1y Growth+130.9%

3y Growth+1.7%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+2.2%

Last Sold Price£1,060,000 (2021-05-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0KT8 0BN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

2026/2581
Confirmation of Compliance with Condition: 17 (Site supervision) of planning permission 2024/0748.
Pending
2026/2534
Installation of solar panels to front and rear roof slopes.
Pending
2026/2539
Tree Preservation Order EL:05/23 - T1 - mature Oak tree situated in garden of 43 Hampton Court Avenue, overhanging garden of 19 Riverside Avenue. Tree has a height of approximately 19 metres and spread of approximately 12 metres. Proposed works are to reduce lateral branches extending over garden of number 19 Riverside Avenue by approximately 1.5 - 2 metres to previous pruning points. Height of tree will not be affected by these works and spread will be reduced to approximately 10m with branches reduced on western side of tree, cutting to suitable growth points. Finished cuts to be no more than 30mm diameter, leaving a flowing natural crown. Works are being carried out to give clearance from property, reduce end weight and allow light into garden area.
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2021-05-07
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£42,607

Population Density1,236 /km²

Owner Occupied73%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 60%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Orchard Infant School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St Paul's Catholic Primary School, Thames Ditton
0.4 mi
Good
St Alban's Catholic Primary School
0.5 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
Esher Sixth Form College
0.6 mi
-

2 of 8 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Ember Farm Orchard Lane
-
£2.50M
-
Romelie Orchard Lane
-
£1.01M
-
9 Orchard Lane
-
£785k
-
Copperfield Orchard Lane
-
£1.45M
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN