Delfryn, Llanelly Church Road, Gilwern, Abergavenny, NP7 0HG

UPRN:10033335347Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (65)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 1mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Delfryn, Llanelly Church Road, Gilwern, Abergavenny, NP7 0HG

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£871,000

£827k - £914kHigh

Estimate

£871k

Range

£827k – £914k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,950

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£2,950

Yield

4.05%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Delfryn earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

16/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 30 Oct 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -63.6%, £/sqft -63.7%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033335347· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.1%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.73
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2950/mo (range 2600-3300)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,653/mo, -56% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 30 Oct 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 102 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 30 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
259 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£656,000£1,006,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£875,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,950/mo

Evidenced range £2,600-£3,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £297,550
Net cash flow: -£911/mo
Cash on cash: -3.7%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.00 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033335347Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 21.1%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2950/mo (range 2600-3300)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 30 Oct 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 30 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2950/mo (range 2600-3300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 102 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£871,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,950

Gross Yield4.05%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+3.7%

10y Growth+4.6%

Last Sold Price£565,000 (2021-01-08)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1NP7 0HG

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/24921/FUL
Proposed new agricutural livestock building with associated works.
Pending
26/24891/DISCON
Discharge of Conditions 4 (WSI) and 6 (Bat Mitigation) pursuant to previously approved application 13/10000/CON.
Pending
26/24692/FUL
Siting of One Planet Dwelling. Regularisation of development approved under planning consent 22/21096/FUL but not implemented in accordance with the approved drawings.
Pending

View Planning Timeline