Holly Barn, Newcastle, Monmouth, NP25 5NU

UPRN:10033344652Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: D (63)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Holly Barn, Newcastle, Monmouth, NP25 5NU

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

14 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,029,000

£926k - £1.13MMedium

Estimate

£1.03M

Range

£926k – £1.13M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,300

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,300

Yield

3.98%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Holly Barn earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

8/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.3% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033344652· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.65
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3300/mo (range 2850-3750)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,902/mo, -58% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
146 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£746,000£1,144,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£995,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,300/mo

Evidenced range £2,850-£3,750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £343,050
Net cash flow: -£1,074/mo
Cash on cash: -3.8%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.98 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033344652Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3300/mo (range 2850-3750)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth Valuation methodology

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3300/mo (range 2850-3750)
Seller motivation could not be scored
no listing-history inputs (first published date, price changes)

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,029,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,300

Gross Yield3.98%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.5%

5y Growth+0.2%

10y Growth+2.5%

Last Sold Price£645,000 (2017-05-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP25 5NU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership67.5%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2017-05-31
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

14 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,020

Population Density-

Owner Occupied80%

Age Distribution

0-15 14%16-64 58%65+ 28%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Llangattock School Monmouth
1.9 mi
-
Cross Ash C.P. School
2.3 mi
-
Garway Primary School
3.1 mi
-
Overmonnow C.P. School
4.9 mi
-

0 of 3 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

South Lodge
-
£480k
-
Holly Barn
-
£645k
-
Holly Barn
-
£560k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN