16 Sarno Square, Abergavenny, NP7 5JT

UPRN:10033347316Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 1991-1995

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£244,000

£219k - £268kMedium

Estimate

£244k

Range

£219k – £268k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

8.23%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

16 Sarno Square earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

62/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 28% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +28.3% (MEDIUM), sold-comps +27.1%, £/sqft +27.2%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033347316· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 11.8%· as of 7 Nov 2026
Rental economics24.5/40
gross yield 8.2%; range width penalty ×0.95; the estimate this rent rides on sits 28% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 28% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -549/mo, -46% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 45 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
259 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£131,000£201,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£175,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £54,800
Net cash flow: £240/mo
Cash on cash: 5.3%
Score at this price: 40

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.03 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033347316Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 11.8%Valuation edge · as of 7 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 28% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1250)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 28% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£244,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield8.23%

1y Growth-29.3%

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+3.7%

10y Growth+4.6%

Last Sold Price£175,000 (2014-07-23)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP7 5JT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM/2026/01244
Lime tree - sucker next to road and branch clearance to allow 17ft clearance above highway. Ash - reduction by 30% Sycamore - removal of branch. Ash tree work to combat Ash die back stage 1 and to also trim long hanging branches. Tree has grown in an oval shape crown and as a result has some large, overhanging but low branches. As discussed with TPO officer during site visit.
Approved
DM/2026/01230
Installing 4 electric scooter stores and charging units to mitigate internal fire risks.
Pending
DM/2026/01215
NMA ref DM/2025/01353 Replacing existing conservatory and utility room with garden room and shower/utility room.
Approved

View Planning Timeline