The Dairy, Llanvair Farm, Llanishen Road, Farhill, Llanishen, Chepstow, NP16 6QU

UPRN:10033351970Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (67)

Data freshness:Listing· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Dairy, Llanvair Farm, Llanishen Road, Farhill, Llanishen, Chepstow, NP16 6QU

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

12 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£788,000

£709k - £866kMedium

Estimate

£788k

Range

£709k – £866k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,050

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,050

Yield

4.33%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Dairy earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

72/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

7/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -7.2% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033351970· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.77
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2700-3350)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,453/mo, -48% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 53 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.9/15
226 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£634,000£971,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£845,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,050/mo

Evidenced range £2,700-£3,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £287,050
Net cash flow: -£740/mo
Cash on cash: -3.1%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.07 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033351970Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2700-3350)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3050/mo (range 2700-3350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 53 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£788,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,050

Gross Yield4.33%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP16 6QU

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM/2025/01319
Works to existing outbuilding to improve accommodation
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership63.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£35,020

Population Density55 /km²

Owner Occupied79%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 55%65+ 29%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Trellech C.P. School
2.3 mi
-
Llandogo C.P. School
3.8 mi
-
Raglan CIW VC Primary School
3.9 mi
-
Talocher School
4.4 mi
-

0 of 2 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Pant Glas Farm
-
£325k
-
Llanvair Farm
-
£720k
-
Pant Glas Farm
-
£325k
-
Glyn Farm
-
£600k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN