4 Crawshay Close, Llanfoist, Abergavenny, NP7 9FF

UPRN:10033352152Detached House5 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (78)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· freshRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

4 Crawshay Close, Llanfoist, Abergavenny, NP7 9FF

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£648,000

£615k - £680kHigh

Estimate

£648k

Range

£615k – £680k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

4.80%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Crawshay Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 75/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

75/ 100

High

Crime Score

17/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 15% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +15.1% (HIGH), sold-comps +8.5%, £/sqft +8.5%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033352152· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 13.8%· as of 22 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.8%; range width penalty ×0.75; the estimate this rent rides on sits 15% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2450)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 15% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -833/mo, -38% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 32 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
259 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: -£333/mo
Cash on cash: -2.2%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.19 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033352152Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 11 comps, dispersion 13.8%Valuation edge · as of 22 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2450)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 15% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2450)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 15% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£648,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield4.80%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.2%

5y Growth+3.7%

10y Growth+4.6%

Last Sold Price£530,000 (2021-03-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP7 9FF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM/2026/01185
A single story rear house extension
Approved
DM/2026/00536
New commercial space within existing garden centre. For use as cafe and goods sales area (re-positioning of existing cafe and children's play area). Including breakout patio areas.
Pending
DM/2026/00292
The proposal is for the construction of a new fish pass at Abergavenny bridge, Llanfoist. Abergavenny Bridge is orientated perpendicular to flow across the River Usk, with a total length of 62m . The bridge apron, which terminates in a vertical drop which is exposed in low flows, presents a barrier to fish migration . The apron is considered a significant barrier to shad, although they are occasionally observed upstream, as well as other fish species such as lamprey. The shallow apron also delays salmonid passage during low flows, particularly the sloping glacis towards the disused railway bridge abutments. A fish pass has been determined as the best solution to this barrier. The pass will comprise a notch in the concrete apron below Arch 2 (second arch from the true right bank), in which perturbation boulders will be evenly spaced. This will provide an area of deeper, slower flowing water for fish to move through. This is hoped to be particularly beneficial to shad populations, which migrate upstream to spawn during summer (primarily June/July) when river flows are often at their lowest. The bridge, which is owned by Monmouthshire County Council, is a Scheduled Monument and Grade II* listed structure. The proposed works are therefore to be carried out under Scheduled Monument Consent with appropriate archaeological supervision. The proposed design of the new fish pass comprises a ?notch? within the concrete apron. This notch will require the cutting of a channel into the concrete, approximately 3.6m wide and 700-800mm below the existing level. These dimensions have been chosen to ensure that the final level is effective as a fish pass. It was decided that the most appropriate arch to locate the fish pass was Arch 2, so as to optimise hydraulics of the fish-pass and the lower depth of the apron as compared to the other arches, which minimises the depth of excavation. To provide a 5% gradient (and therefore appropriate velocities), the channel will need to
Pending

View Planning Timeline