1 Riverside Mill, The Back, Chepstow, NP16 5FY

UPRN:10033352507Terrace Property2 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (64)

1 Riverside Mill, The Back, Chepstow, NP16 5FY

HP Score

Not available

Verdict

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

11 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£252,000

£240k - £265kHigh

Estimate

£252k

Range

£240k – £265k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,050

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,050

Yield

5.04%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 Riverside Mill earns an INVESTIGATE rating; it has no HP Score yet. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

No data

Investment Score

No data

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.8% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033352507· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.3/40
gross yield 5.0%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 1000-1150)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -413/mo, -39% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), 348 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity5.7/15
valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£187,500£287,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,050/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,150

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £78,800
Net cash flow: -£117/mo
Cash on cash: -1.8%
Score at this price: 6

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.24 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033352507Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1050/mo (range 1000-1150)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1050/mo (range 1000-1150)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), 348 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
3 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£252,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,050

Gross Yield5.04%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-

5y Growth-

10y Growth-

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceUnknown
RadonUnknown
MiningUnknown
LandslideUnknown
Air QualityUnknown
NoiseUnknown

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-NP16 5FY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

P1277/26/TPO
Prune Sycamore covered by A1 of DFTPO 50 to give a clearance of 2-3 metres from 84 Bigstone Meadow in accordance with BS3998:2010.
Pending
P1208/26/TPO
Undertake the following works to trees covered by A2 of Tree Preservation Order number DFTPO 152. Pollard Sycamore on lawn to approximately 6 metres. Remove dead branch from Lime tree. Reduce Sycamore over shed and garden by approximately 2 metres. Reduce Beech over garden and greenhouse by approximately 2 metres. Trim tops of group of Yews by approximately 1 metre.
Pending
P1193/26/LD2
Application under section 192 to establish whether the erection of a single storey rear extension with associated hard landscaping alterations requires planning permission.
Pending

View Planning Timeline