Buena Vista, Mount Ballan Bungalows, 2 Crick Road, Portskewett, Caldicot, NP26 5UP

UPRN:10033354573Detached House4 bedsBuilt 1930-1949

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (73)

Buena Vista, Mount Ballan Bungalows, 2 Crick Road, Portskewett, Caldicot, NP26 5UP

HP Score

Not available

Verdict

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

11 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£587,000

£558k - £616kHigh

Estimate

£587k

Range

£558k – £616k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,950

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,950

Yield

3.97%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Buena Vista earns an INVESTIGATE rating; it has no HP Score yet. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

No data

Investment Score

No data

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033354573· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.74
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1750-2200)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,186/mo, -61% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), 209 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity5.7/15
valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£442,500£678,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£590,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,950/mo

Evidenced range £1,750-£2,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £197,800
Net cash flow: -£641/mo
Cash on cash: -3.9%
Score at this price: 6

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.98 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033354573Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1950/mo (range 1750-2200)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1950/mo (range 1750-2200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 3 price cut(s), 209 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
3 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£587,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,950

Gross Yield3.97%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-

5y Growth-

10y Growth-

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceUnknown
RadonUnknown
MiningUnknown
LandslideUnknown
Air QualityUnknown
NoiseUnknown

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-NP26 5UP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

DM/2026/01271
Addition of two air conditioning units to the house, one on each side elevation. One above first floor height due to space restrictions.
Pending
DM/2026/01168
Establish a new indoor golf and leisure venue
Pending
DM/2026/00785
QTRA Assessment
Approved

View Planning Timeline