Brockwells Cottage, Dewstow Road, Caerwent, Caldicot, NP26 5AJ

UPRN:10033356232Detached House4 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (42)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Brockwells Cottage, Dewstow Road, Caerwent, Caldicot, NP26 5AJ

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

14 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£662,000

£629k - £695kHigh

Estimate

£662k

Range

£629k – £695k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

4.01%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Brockwells Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

21/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +0.6% (HIGH), sold-comps -17.3%, £/sqft -17.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033356232· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.8%· as of 29 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.75
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2450)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,289/mo, -59% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity0/15
lease 12 years (under 80): most lenders refuse it - risk scores nothing; 255 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
- listing_factslease 12 years remaining (advert)· as of 5 Nov 2026

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£493,500£756,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£658,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,450

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £221,600
Net cash flow: -£698/mo
Cash on cash: -3.8%
Score at this price: 0

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.99 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033356232Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.8%Valuation edge · as of 29 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2450)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 1950-2450)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), unknown days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£662,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield4.01%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.0%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+4.9%

Last Sold Price£425,000 (2011-08-02)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP26 5AJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

DM/2026/01147
Dig holes x10 and installing metal posts as well as a metal gate and height restricting barrier at entrance to the car park. There will be 8 security bollards and x2 posts at a depth of 900 mm The 2 posts allow for gate and height restricting barrier to be attached and locked.
Approved
DM/2026/01119
Single-storey rear extension to the existing detached dwelling, together with internal and external alterations and the conversion of a detached domestic stable building to provide ancillary residential accommodation for use by family members of the occupants of the main dwelling.
Pending
DM/2026/01082
Convert garage to part of house
Pending

View Planning Timeline