3 Lyttleton Court, Welsh Street, Chepstow, NP16 5LN

UPRN:10033365624Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

3 Lyttleton Court, Welsh Street, Chepstow, NP16 5LN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£378,000

£359k - £397kHigh

Estimate

£378k

Range

£359k – £397k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,500

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,500

Yield

4.74%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Lyttleton Court earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 54/100. Investment score 70/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

54/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

70/ 100

High

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -16.2%, £/sqft -16.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033365624· as of 14 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.8%· as of 11 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.7%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1600)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -631/mo, -42% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
226 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£285,000£437,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£380,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,500/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £124,300
Net cash flow: -£244/mo
Cash on cash: -2.4%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.17 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033365624Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 11.8%Valuation edge · as of 11 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1600)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1500/mo (range 1350-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£378,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,500

Gross Yield4.74%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP16 5LN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P1297/26/FUL
Demolition of an existing outbuilding used as a home office and erection of a detached holiday let.
Pending
DM/2026/01220
Installation of a commemorative Twinning Plaque to mark 50 years of Chepstow's twinning with Cormeilles, Normandy, France. The plaque will be installed on the outside wall of the Gatehouse, facing into Cormeilles Square, below the existing plaques 'Place de Cormeilles' and the 40th anniversary plaque
Pending
P1193/26/LD2
Application under section 192 to establish whether the erection of a single storey rear extension with associated hard landscaping alterations requires planning permission.
Pending

View Planning Timeline