Mulberry Lodge, Parc Road, Llangybi, Usk, NP15 1NL

UPRN:10033368241Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 2mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Mulberry Lodge, Parc Road, Llangybi, Usk, NP15 1NL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£659,000

£593k - £725kMedium

Estimate

£659k

Range

£593k – £725k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,100

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,100

Yield

3.05%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Mulberry Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 72/100. Investment score 71/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

72/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

71/ 100

High

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 6 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 3 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -25.2% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033368241· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 3.1%; range width penalty ×0.72
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1850-2350)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,067/mo, -98% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 80 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
74 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£619,000£948,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£825,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,850-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £280,050
Net cash flow: -£1,331/mo
Cash on cash: -5.7%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.75 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033368241Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1850-2350)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2100/mo (range 1850-2350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 80 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£659,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,100

Gross Yield3.05%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+0.9%

10y Growth+4.6%

Last Sold Price£522,500 (2020-03-13)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2NP15 1NL

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

DM/2026/01093
Change of use, commercial space to be incorporated into residential.
Pending
DM/2026/00872
Solar panels to rear of main roof and two pergolas in rear garden.
Pending
DM/2026/00770
Fell Alder tree multi stem. TPO MCC:112/T7
Approved

View Planning Timeline