19 Bowstring Close, Chepstow, NP16 5UT

UPRN:10033368734Semi-Detached HouseBeds -Built 2024

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

14 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£318,000

£302k - £334kHigh

Estimate

£318k

Range

£302k – £334k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

4.26%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

19 Bowstring Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 52/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

52/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -6.3% (HIGH), sold-comps -11.9%, £/sqft -12.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033368734· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 12.2%· as of 24 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.3%; range width penalty ×0.78
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1350)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -674/mo, -56% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 82 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
226 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£253,500£388,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£338,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,100-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £109,600
Net cash flow: -£310/mo
Cash on cash: -3.4%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.05 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033368734Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 12.2%Valuation edge · as of 24 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1350)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1100-1350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 82 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£318,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield4.26%

1y Growth+6.0%

3y Growth+0.1%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+4.0%

Last Sold Price£299,995 (2024-08-09)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP16 5UT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P1277/26/TPO
Prune Sycamore covered by A1 of DFTPO 50 to give a clearance of 2-3 metres from 84 Bigstone Meadow in accordance with BS3998:2010.
Pending
P1208/26/TPO
Undertake the following works to trees covered by A2 of Tree Preservation Order number DFTPO 152. Pollard Sycamore on lawn to approximately 6 metres. Remove dead branch from Lime tree. Reduce Sycamore over shed and garden by approximately 2 metres. Reduce Beech over garden and greenhouse by approximately 2 metres. Trim tops of group of Yews by approximately 1 metre.
Pending
P1193/26/LD2
Application under section 192 to establish whether the erection of a single storey rear extension with associated hard landscaping alterations requires planning permission.
Pending

View Planning Timeline