Garden Flat, 3 Goldney Road, London, W9 2AP

UPRN:10033534864Converted Flat2 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Price Paid· freshPlanning· 5mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

Garden Flat, 3 Goldney Road, London, W9 2AP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£588,000

£558k - £617kHigh

Estimate

£588k

Range

£558k – £617k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,500

£2k - £3k

Monthly

£2,500

Yield

4.62%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Garden Flat earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 71/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (96/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

71/ 100

High

Crime Score

21/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

96/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 74Bike 79

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -10.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033534864· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.6%; range width penalty ×0.84
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2500/mo (range 2300-2750)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,095/mo, -44% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 26 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
258 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£487,500£747,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£650,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,500/mo

Evidenced range £2,300-£2,750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £218,800
Net cash flow: -£463/mo
Cash on cash: -2.5%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.14 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10033534864Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2500/mo (range 2300-2750)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2500/mo (range 2300-2750)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 26 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£588,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,500

Gross Yield4.62%

1y Growth+1.3%

3y Growth-4.5%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth-0.3%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1W9 2AP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/07268/P3JPA
Prior Approval for the conversion of existing ground-floor commercial/business/service space (Use Class E) to Class C3 use, together with internal layout changes, to form 1no. two-bedroom flat under Class MA, Part 3, Schedule 2 of the Town and Country Planning (General Permitted Development) Order 2015 (as amended).
Pending
26/07241/TCA
T1 - Mature Sycamore- Carry out a crown reduction of up to 3m in height and up to 2m laterally back to the previous, most recent established pruning points, retaining a balanced crown structure and natural form. Pruning cuts will be made to suitable growth points. T2 - Field Maple- Undertake a crown reduction of approx 2m in height and 1.5m laterally appropriate to the tree?s condition, structure and previous pruning history, whilst retaining a natural crown shape and viable growth points. Where suitable, reduce the crown to the previous reduction points, pruning back to appropriate secondary branches or growth points to create a balanced, natural-flowing canopy outline. As an Arboricultural Approved contractor (#AC2626), all works will be undertaken in accordance with BS39982010 - Tree Work - Recommendations. Reason for work: General tree maintenance
Pending
26/07258/FULL
Installation of air to air heat pumps to offices and bedrooms.
Pending

View Planning Timeline