45 Downlands Way, South Wonston, Winchester, SO21 3HS

UPRN:10034507313Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band FEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 3mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

45 Downlands Way, South Wonston, Winchester, SO21 3HS

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£550,000

£523k - £578kHigh

Estimate

£550k

Range

£523k – £578k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,050

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,050

Yield

4.47%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

45 Downlands Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (27/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

11/ 100

Low

Walkability

27/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 9Bike 42

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge1.5/15
claims [AVM +0.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +1.8%, £/sqft +1.7%] → measured edge +0.29pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034507313· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.3%· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.5%; range width penalty ×0.81
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1850-2250)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -926/mo, -45% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 511 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
161 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£412,500£632,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£550,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,050/mo

Evidenced range £1,850-£2,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £183,800
Net cash flow: -£437/mo
Cash on cash: -2.9%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.10 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034507313Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.3%Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2050/mo (range 1850-2250)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2050/mo (range 1850-2250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 511 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£550,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,050

Gross Yield4.47%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.4%

5y Growth+0.0%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£360,000 (2010-04-13)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SO21 3HS

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

26/02266/TPO
G001 Beech - crown lift to 4m. Selective crown reduction of 2-4m with emphasis on no greater than 50mm prune wound diameter and retaining a SW spread of 6.5m . Works to be carried out to match adjoining property (Box House , Downs road). This work has already been carried out. This work is for Both properties on same application at 7 & 9 Wrights Close , South Wonston , SO21 3HD which was agreed by John Bartlett by telephone.
Pending
26/01717/TPO
G1 Hawthorn and Elder Group TPO Works Justification The group comprises predominantly Hawthorn and Elder and is heavily overgrown and extensively dominated by Ivy. The vegetation appears to have historically functioned more as a managed hedgerow or screening feature rather than a formal line of individual trees and has subsequently been allowed to become unmanaged. The group is now so heavily encumbered by Ivy that it is not reasonably practicable to remove or cut out the Ivy whilst retaining the existing branch structure. The Ivy dominates and obscures the underlying branch framework and, as a result, it was difficult to accurately identify the individual tree species and assess the original structure of the group. The proposed works are therefore to reduce and face back the overhanging growth over the garden boundary, removing the excessive Ivy-laden growth and encroachment into the garden whilst retaining sufficient live growth to maintain the established screening function. The intention is not to remove the group, but to undertake proportionate management to bring the vegetation back into a manageable condition, whilst retaining its existing contribution to visual amenity, screening and privacy. The works will also help prevent further encroachment and allow the group to be more appropriately managed in the future. All works will be undertaken in accordance with BS3998:2010 ? Tree Work Recommendations, with cuts made to suitable growth points wherever practicable and with care taken to retain the principal stems and viable live growth.
Approved
26/01452/TPO
T1 Sycamore - Fell and grind stump in the interests of highway safety following recent limb failure T2 Pine - Fell and grind stump due to increased wind exposure following removal of T1
Rejected

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