10 Alexandra Avenue, Tramroad Lane, Merthyr Tydfil, CF47 9AE

UPRN:10034651329Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1950-1966

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: D (66)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

10 Alexandra Avenue, Tramroad Lane, Merthyr Tydfil, CF47 9AE

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

15 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£296,000

£281k - £311kHigh

Estimate

£296k

Range

£281k – £311k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

8.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

10 Alexandra Avenue earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 84/100. Investment score 76/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

84/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

76/ 100

High

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 19% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +18.9% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034651329· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics25.4/40
gross yield 8.5%; range width penalty ×0.91; the estimate this rent rides on sits 19% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1800)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 19% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin6.3/30
stressed cash flow +107/mo, +6% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 62 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
153 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £186,000

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,550-£1,800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: £367/mo
Cash on cash: 5.8%
Score at this price: 46

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.10 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034651329Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1800)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 19% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1800)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 19% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £186,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£296,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield8.50%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+3.0%

5y Growth+5.5%

10y Growth+5.6%

Last Sold Price£202,000 (2019-11-15)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF47 9AE

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/26/0247
Discharge of condition 4 (method statement relating to the refurbishment of wooden windows and doors) of planning permission P/25/0308 for the installation of a ventilation system and refurbishment of Joseph Parry Cottage including, sand blast floor and ceiling, decorate the walls, new rear door, new accessible toilet, new vinyl floor, refurbish all windows including secondary glazing and new re-lay flag stones
Pending
P/26/0241
Discharge of condition 3 (biodiversity enhancement) of planning permission P/26/0130
Pending
P/26/0242
Front and rear dormer extensions, hip to gable extension and rear single storey extension
Pending

View Planning Timeline