Tawelfryn, Pant Road, Pant, Merthyr Tydfil, CF48 2BY

UPRN:10034657266Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: E (45)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Tawelfryn, Pant Road, Pant, Merthyr Tydfil, CF48 2BY

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£191,000

£171k - £210kMedium

Estimate

£191k

Range

£171k – £210k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£850

£800 - £900

Monthly

£850

Yield

5.10%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Tawelfryn earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -4.7% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034657266· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0.8/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.96
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -349/mo, -41% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 38 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
223 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£150,000£230,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£200,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£850/mo

Evidenced range £800-£900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £62,800
Net cash flow: -£87/mo
Cash on cash: -1.7%
Score at this price: 14

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.26 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034657266Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 850/mo (range 800-900)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 38 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£191,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£850

Gross Yield5.10%

1y Growth+37.8%

3y Growth+1.1%

5y Growth+2.1%

10y Growth+4.8%

Last Sold Price£180,000 (2024-07-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF48 2BY

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

P/26/0237
Variation of condition 2 of outline planning permission P/16/0077 to extend the period of time for the submission of the reserved matters for a residential scheme comprising 21 self build plots with associated highway works.
Pending
P/26/0236
Change of use from 4 bedroom dwelling to 4 affordable self contained flats, to include rear extension and refurbishment works.
Pending
P/26/0211
Discharge of conditions 3 (Landscaping), 7 (Boundary treatments) and 10 (public sewer diversion) of planning permission P/25/0253
Pending

View Planning Timeline