10 Cwm Woods Grove, Heolgerrig, Merthyr Tydfil, CF48 1DP

UPRN:10034665199Detached Property4 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -

10 Cwm Woods Grove, Heolgerrig, Merthyr Tydfil, CF48 1DP

HP Score

Not available

Verdict

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

10 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£493,000

£468k - £518kHigh

Estimate

£493k

Range

£468k – £518k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,150

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,150

Yield

5.21%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

10 Cwm Woods Grove earns an INVESTIGATE rating; it has no HP Score yet. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

No data

Investment Score

No data

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 10 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034665199· as of 10 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.5/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2150/mo (range 2000-2350)· as of 10 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -638/mo, -30% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 134 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity5.6/15
valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£371,000£569,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£495,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,150/mo

Evidenced range £2,000-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £164,550
Net cash flow: -£182/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 7

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.29 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034665199Valuation edge · as of 10 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2150/mo (range 2000-2350)Rental economics · as of 10 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2150/mo (range 2000-2350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 134 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£493,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,150

Gross Yield5.21%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-

5y Growth-

10y Growth-

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceUnknown
RadonUnknown
MiningUnknown
LandslideUnknown
Air QualityUnknown
NoiseUnknown

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

-CF48 1DP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

P/26/0241
Discharge of condition 3 (biodiversity enhancement) of planning permission P/26/0130
Pending
P/26/0232
Erect 1 new fascia sign
Pending
P/26/0230
Variation of Condition 2 (approved plans) and removal of Condition 3 (method statement for ventilation system) of Listed Building Consent P/25/0308 to reflect changes to the ventilation system. (Listed Building Consent)
Pending

View Planning Timeline