Thornton Cottage, 7 Pelham Crescent, Keelby, Grimsby, DN41 8EW

UPRN:10034685763Detached House3 bedsBuilt 1900-1929

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: D (68)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

Thornton Cottage, 7 Pelham Crescent, Keelby, Grimsby, DN41 8EW

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£269,000

£255k - £282kHigh

Estimate

£269k

Range

£255k – £282k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

5.77%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Thornton Cottage earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (57/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

15/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

57/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 10Bike 30

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034685763· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics20/40
gross yield 7.5% on contractual rent (listing-disclosed tenancy); contractual 2000/mo far above the 1250/mo estimate - credited at the 1.3x cap, verify
- listing_factscontractual rent 2000/mo (tenanted)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -32/mo, -2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 83 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
84 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £195,000

£195,000£299,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£260,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,150-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £82,300
Net cash flow: -£12/mo
Cash on cash: -0.2%
Score at this price: 35

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.42 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034685763Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
listing_factscontractual rent 2000/mo (tenanted)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
contractual rent 2000/mo (tenanted)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 83 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £195,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£269,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield5.77%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.2%

5y Growth+3.1%

10y Growth+2.6%

Last Sold Price£215,000 (2020-03-06)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0DN41 8EW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

151102
Application for a Lawful Development Certificate for the construction of a new single storey classroom extension and reconfiguration of some external steps.
Conditions
151040
Application for non material amendment to planning permission 147126 granted 8 December 2023 - remove plot 49, 77 & 80 from M4(2) requirement, change of house type number 315 to 322 plots 51 & 52, and change of house type 418 to 481 plots 25, 29, 42 & 73.
Approved
150842
Planning application for alterations to existing dwelling, removal of conservatory and garage to allow for two storey rear extension with two storey side extension to form annex, and erection of replacement garage.
Conditions

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership72.1%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2020-03-06
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

18 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,741

Population Density64 /km²

Owner Occupied75%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 55%65+ 29%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Keelby Primary Academy
0.2 mi
GoodImproving
Eastfield Primary Academy
2.8 mi
GoodConcerns
Stallingborough CofE Primary School
2.9 mi
Good
Coomb Briggs Primary Academy
2.9 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

0 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

2 Pelham Crescent
-
£134k
-
11 Pelham Crescent
-
£415k
-
11 Pelham Crescent
-
£422k
-
11 Pelham Crescent
-
£380k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN