4 Macphail Crescent, Saxilby, Lincoln, LN1 2WL

UPRN:10034688949Detached House5 bedsBuilt 1996-2002

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

4 Macphail Crescent, Saxilby, Lincoln, LN1 2WL

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£448,000

£426k - £471kHigh

Estimate

£448k

Range

£426k – £471k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,900

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,900

Yield

5.07%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

4 Macphail Crescent earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 69/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (25/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

69/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

10/ 100

Low

Walkability

25/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 6Bike 20

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 6 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.4%, £/sqft -8.5%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034688949· as of 9 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 11.7%· as of 8 Nov 2026
Rental economics0.5/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1750-2050)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -632/mo, -33% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 6 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 171 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
365 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£337,500£517,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£450,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,900/mo

Evidenced range £1,750-£2,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £148,800
Net cash flow: -£203/mo
Cash on cash: -1.6%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.25 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10034688949Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 7 comps, dispersion 11.7%Valuation edge · as of 8 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1900/mo (range 1750-2050)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 6 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1900/mo (range 1750-2050)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 171 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£448,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,900

Gross Yield5.07%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.7%

5y Growth-0.6%

10y Growth+3.3%

Last Sold Price£260,000 (2010-02-25)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LN1 2WL

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

151503
Application for non-material amendment to planning permission WL/2025/00242 granted 28 May 2025 - removal of windows and changes to cladding colour.
Pending
151369
Planning application for replacement garage.
Pending
151203
Planning application for the conversion of existing garage into habitable space with infill extension to connect to main dwelling.
Conditions

View Planning Timeline