The Lawns, Elm Walk, Orpington, BR6 8LX

UPRN:10070004373Detached House5 bedsBuilt 2007-2011

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band HEPC: C (80)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£3,204,000

£2.88M - £3.52MMedium

Estimate

£3.20M

Range

£2.88M – £3.52M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£10,700

£10k - £12k

Monthly

£10,700

Yield

1.98%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Lawns earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 71/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (50/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

71/ 100

High

Crime Score

47/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

50/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 34Bike 48

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

asking price missing or outside scoring range

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions

Purchase price£6,500,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£10,700/mo

Evidenced range £9,550-£11,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £2,645,050
Net cash flow: -£14,530/mo
Cash on cash: -6.6%
Score at this price: -

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.49 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£3,204,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£10,700

Gross Yield1.98%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.3%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price£4,250,000 (2016-10-24)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1BR6 8LX

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/04240/LDC
Replacement and part enlargement of existing driveway to include resin bond, drainage and soakaways LAWFUL DEVELOPMENT CERTIFICATE (PROPOSED)
Pending
26/04177/HPA
Demolition of the existing garden room and construction of a single-storey rear extension and a first-floor side extension.
Pending
26/01551/S73A
Minor Material Amendment under S73 of the Town and Country Planning Act to planning permission reference 26/01551/HPA (granted for Demolition of detached garage, rear extensions and chimneys. Two storey front, side and rear extensions, with elevational alterations including rendering and fenestration changes. Roof alterations to raise ridge height, loft conversion with 2 x rear dormers and replacement of roof tiles. ) in order to vary condition 2 to allow for changes to the approved plans to include dormer to front elevation, side rooflights and alterations to fenestration.
Pending

View Planning Timeline