1C Chelsfield Road, Orpington, BR5 4DN

UPRN:10070023824Semi-Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2024

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: A (95)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£659,000

£626k - £692kHigh

Estimate

£659k

Range

£626k – £692k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,000

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,000

Yield

5.54%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1C Chelsfield Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (59/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

9/ 100

Low

Walkability

59/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 44Bike 62

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070023824· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.7/40
gross yield 5.5%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2750-3250)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -667/mo, -22% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 515 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
365 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£569,000£747,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£650,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,000/mo

Evidenced range £2,750-£3,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £218,800
Net cash flow: -£117/mo
Cash on cash: -0.6%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.37 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070023824Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3000/mo (range 2750-3250)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3000/mo (range 2750-3250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 2 price cut(s), 515 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
2 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£659,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,000

Gross Yield5.54%

1y Growth+8.2%

3y Growth+1.9%

5y Growth+1.6%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0BR5 4DN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/04197/LDC
Use of property as a 6-bedroom 6 person HMO (Use Class C4) LAWFUL DEVELOPMENT CERTIFICATE (EXISTING)
Pending
26/04176/LDC
Part use of property to use as private TFL operator. LAWFUL DEVELOPMENT CERTIFICATE (PROPOSED)
Pending
26/04187/NOT
Single storey rear extension, extending beyond the rear wall of the original house by Xm, for which the maximum height would be Xm, and for which the height of the eaves would be Xm (42 Day Notification for Householder Permitted Development Prior Approval)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership77%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£43,981

Population Density-

Owner Occupied81%

Age Distribution

0-15 16%16-64 62%65+ 22%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St. Mary Cray Primary Academy
0.1 mi
Good
St Philomena's Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Harris Primary Academy Orpington
0.5 mi
Inspected as Hillside Primary School (URN 138574) on 22 Jun 2016
Woodview
0.6 mi
Good

1 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

14 Chelsfield Road
-
£671k
-
10 Chelsfield Road
-
£775k
-
1C Chelsfield Road
-
£650k
-
23 Chelsfield Road
-
£330k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN