Flat 9, Avon House, 172 Avon Road, Upminster, RM14 1RW

UPRN:10070025982Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 9, Avon House, 172 Avon Road, Upminster, RM14 1RW

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£299,000

£284k - £313kHigh

Estimate

£299k

Range

£284k – £313k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,100

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,100

Yield

4.89%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 9 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 75/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (59/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

75/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

21/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

59/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 32Bike 38

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +9.7% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070025982· as of 13 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.9%; range width penalty ×0.75
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1250)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -577/mo, -52% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 100 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
254 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£202,500£310,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£270,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,000-£1,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £85,800
Net cash flow: -£150/mo
Cash on cash: -2.1%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.21 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070025982Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1250)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1100/mo (range 1000-1250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 100 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£299,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,100

Gross Yield4.89%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.5%

5y Growth-0.4%

10y Growth+1.3%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0RM14 1RW

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

D0429.26
Certificate of lawfulness for proposed construction of single storey Pitched Roof Extension to Front Elevation to provide new Entrance Porch and Ground Floor w.c.
Pending
T0137.26
T1 Oak- To crown list re-growth and epicormic growth to 4m to allow vehicle access and pedestrian path. To crown lift over road to 5m to allow vehicle access.
Pending
P1184.26
Application for the temporary siting of three portacabins
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership59.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining102 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

12 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£40,726

Population Density6,121 /km²

Owner Occupied62%

Age Distribution

0-15 22%16-64 59%65+ 19%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Engayne Primary School
0.1 mi
Good
Hall Mead School
0.4 mi
Outstanding
The James Oglethorpe Primary School
0.9 mi
Good
The Coopers' Company and Coborn School
0.9 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

8 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Avon House, 172 Avon Road
-
£293k
-
Avon House, 172 Avon Road
-
£270k
-
Avon House, 172 Avon Road
-
£265k
-
Avon House, 172 Avon Road
-
£290k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN