3 Beech Tree Lodge, Lexden Road, Colchester, CO3 3RA

UPRN:10070235646Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 2003-2006

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (77)

Data freshness:Planning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 4mo ago

3 Beech Tree Lodge, Lexden Road, Colchester, CO3 3RA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£279,000

£265k - £293kHigh

Estimate

£279k

Range

£265k – £293k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

7.68%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Beech Tree Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 73/100. Investment score 65/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (40/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

73/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

65/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

40/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 8Bike 60

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +10.4% (HIGH), sold-comps +11.0%, £/sqft +11.1%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070235646· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 22%· as of 27 Oct 2026
Rental economics19/40
gross yield 7.7%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1750)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -127/mo, -8% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 55 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
388 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£187,500£287,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£250,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,500-£1,750

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £78,800
Net cash flow: £264/mo
Cash on cash: 4.0%
Score at this price: 36

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.90 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070235646Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 22%Valuation edge · as of 27 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1750)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1500-1750)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 55 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£279,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield7.68%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-2.5%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+2.1%

Last Sold Price£242,500 (2018-12-03)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CO3 3RA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

261950
6no London Plane Trees. Re pollard back to previous cuts.
Pending
261848
x 1 Sycamore (S1) to have crown reduced back to most recent previous points (leaving a flowing branch line where possible).
Pending
261822
T1 - Walnut Crown Reduction - Reducing the height and spread of the tree by up to 2 metres - To keep the tree in a manageable size and T2 - Cherry Crown Reduction - Reducing back to old pruning points - To keep the tree in a manageable size
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership62%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2018-12-03
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

10 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,589

Population Density545 /km²

Owner Occupied76%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 60%65+ 23%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

St Mary's School for Girls
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
St Benedict's Catholic College
0.4 mi
Good
Colchester County High School for Girls
0.4 mi
Outstanding
Kingswode Hoe School
0.4 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.

6 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Beech Tree Lodge Lexden Road
-
£240k
-
Beech Tree Lodge Lexden Road
-
£229k
-
Beech Tree Lodge Lexden Road
-
£250k
-
Beech Tree Lodge Lexden Road
-
£243k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN