Llwyn Celyn, Caeathro, Caernarfon, LL55 2ST

UPRN:10070342200Detached Bungalow3 bedsBuilt 2012-2021

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Llwyn Celyn, Caeathro, Caernarfon, LL55 2ST

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£374,000

£337k - £412kMedium

Estimate

£374k

Range

£337k – £412k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

2.78%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Llwyn Celyn earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 76/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

76/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -67.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070342200· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.8%; range width penalty ×0.79
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,701/mo, -117% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
189 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£469,000£719,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£625,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,300-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £210,050
Net cash flow: -£1,106/mo
Cash on cash: -6.3%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.69 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070342200Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1300-1600)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 47 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£374,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield2.78%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.2%

5y Growth+3.9%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price£275,000 (2019-11-19)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LL55 2ST

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

C26/0330/26/DT
Codi adeilad allanol unllawr to un brig, yn cynnwys swyddfa, gym ac ystafell ymolchi sydd yn cynnwys toilet. Proposed erection of new single storey lean-to roof building incorporating a gym office + WC room.
Pending
C25/0621/26/LL
Cais i godi sied storio amaethyddol. / Erection of agricultural storage shed.
Pending
C25/0281/26/DT
Gosod pwmp gwres ffynhonnell aer i gefn yr eiddo. Air source heat pump installation.
Conditions

View Planning Timeline