Cae Forus, Aberdaron, Pwllheli, LL53 8BN

UPRN:10070343616Detached House3 bedsBuilt before 1900

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: F (31)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 5mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Cae Forus, Aberdaron, Pwllheli, LL53 8BN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

13 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£438,000

£394k - £482kMedium

Estimate

£438k

Range

£394k – £482k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,200

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,200

Yield

2.91%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Cae Forus earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

74/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -13.0% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070343616· as of 14 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 2.9%; range width penalty ×0.70
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1050-1350)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -1,336/mo, -111% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 60 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
181 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£371,000£569,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£495,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,200/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £164,550
Net cash flow: -£840/mo
Cash on cash: -6.1%
Score at this price: 12

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.72 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070343616Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1200/mo (range 1050-1350)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1200/mo (range 1050-1350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 60 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£438,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,200

Gross Yield2.91%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-3.4%

5y Growth+0.1%

10y Growth+2.7%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0LL53 8BN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

C25/0311/30/AC
Cais adran 73 i newid amod 7 ar ganiatâd C24/0011/30/AM i gytuno ar osodiad newydd fel y dangosir ar gynllun rhif 3196:24:8 ynghyd a newid amodau 5 a 10 ar ganiatâd C24/0011/30/AM i gytuno manylion tirlunio ac edrychiad yn unol gyda cynlluniau rhif 3196:24:8 a 3196:24:7 . Section 73 application to vary condition 7 on planning approval C24/0011/30/AM to agree a new layout as shown on drawing ref. no. 3196:24:8; amend conditions 5 and 10 on planning approval C24/0011/30/AM to agree landscaping and appearance details in accordance with drawings ref. no. 3196:24:8 and 3196:24:7.
Pending
C25/0114/30/RC
Cais i ddiddymu cytundeb cyfreithiol 106 sy'n cyfyngu'r eiddo i dŷ fforddiadwy angen lleol (ail - gyflwyniad) / Application for the removal of a section 106 legal agreement that restricts the property as a local need affordable dwelling (re - submission).
Rejected
C24/1039/30/LL
Cais i aeiladu storfa slyri tanddaearol newydd / Application to build a new underground slurry store
Conditions

View Planning Timeline