Flat 7, 31 Lakeside Rise, Manchester, M9 8QF

UPRN:10070398719Converted Flat2 bedsBuilt 1976-1982

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: C (78)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 7, 31 Lakeside Rise, Manchester, M9 8QF

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£104,000

£94k - £115kMedium

Estimate

£104k

Range

£94k – £115k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£750

£700 - £800

Monthly

£750

Yield

7.50%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 7 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 66/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is limited (39/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021HM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

66/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

39/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 38Bike 23

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceListing checked 12 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-0.6/15
claims [AVM -15.4% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge -0.12pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070398719· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics18.7/40
gross yield 7.5%; range width penalty ×0.93
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -237/mo, -32% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 12 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 115 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 12 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
269 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£90,000£138,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£120,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£750/mo

Evidenced range £700-£800

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £37,300
Net cash flow: £114/mo
Cash on cash: 3.7%
Score at this price: 31

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.85 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10070398719Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 12 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 12 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 750/mo (range 700-800)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 115 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£104,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£750

Gross Yield7.50%

1y Growth+17.6%

3y Growth+6.1%

5y Growth+7.2%

10y Growth+7.6%

Last Sold Price£85,000 (2025-04-22)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M9 8QF

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PLA-2026-002011
Change of use of garage together with single-storey extension to form a self contained studio flat.
Pending
73820
Application to discharge conditions 3, (highways topographical based survey), 5 (Construction Management Plan), 8 (Surface Water Drainage Strategy), part condition 11 (electric vehicle charging points) of planing permission 72801
Pending
OTH-2026-002104
Non-material amendment to Planning Permission PLA-2026-000615 to amend approved plans relating to highway and drainage works, including revisions to shared driveway surfacing materials, minor amendments to the approved drainage layout, correction of plan references, and associated amendments to Conditions 2, 6, 9 and 13.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership66.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining102 yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2025-04-22
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

7 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,067

Population Density3,715 /km²

Owner Occupied27%

Age Distribution

0-15 25%16-64 67%65+ 8%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Bowker Vale Primary School
0.3 mi
Good
Crab Lane Primary School
0.4 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Prospect House Specialist Support Primary School
0.6 mi
Outstanding
Crumpsall Lane Primary School
0.7 mi
Good

1 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

37 Lakeside Rise
-
£182k
-
31 Lakeside Rise
-
£63k
-
36 Lakeside Rise
-
£180k
-
40 Lakeside Rise
-
£180k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN