123 Kings Mill Way, Denham, Uxbridge, UB9 4BT

UPRN:10090189758Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 2012 onwards

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (81)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

123 Kings Mill Way, Denham, Uxbridge, UB9 4BT

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£451,000

£428k - £473kHigh

Estimate

£451k

Range

£428k – £473k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,150

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,150

Yield

6.79%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

123 Kings Mill Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 77/100. Investment score 72/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is good (76/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

77/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

72/ 100

High

Crime Score

37/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

76/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 23Bike 59

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 16% above the ask; lead to verify: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +15.7% (HIGH), sold-comps +9.3%, £/sqft +9.2%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090189758· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 8.5%· as of 29 Oct 2026
Rental economics13.2/40
gross yield 6.8%; range width penalty ×0.92; the estimate this rent rides on sits 16% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2150/mo (range 2000-2300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -153/mo, -7% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 70 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
129 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£285,000£437,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£380,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,150/mo

Evidenced range £2,000-£2,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £124,300
Net cash flow: £206/mo
Cash on cash: 2.0%
Score at this price: 30

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.68 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090189758Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 9 comps, dispersion 8.5%Valuation edge · as of 29 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2150/mo (range 2000-2300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2150/mo (range 2000-2300)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 16% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£451,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,150

Gross Yield6.79%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+0.5%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£282,995 (2013-01-31)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB9 4BT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

PL/26/07981/FA
Construction of a Flash Charging Electric Vehicle Hub which includes a charging upstand, power cabinet unit and self-contained energy buffer units purpose-built for high-rate DC charging infrastructure and associated works
Pending
38074/APP/2026/2409
Variation of conditions 5 (details of lighting), 6 (contamination) and 7 (decking details) of planning permission reference 38074/APP/2026/1405, dated 17-08-26 (Replacement of existing rear ramp and construction of rear terrace with associated structures. Refurbishment of the existing fourth floor terrace with associated structures and landscaping. Construction of front entrance canopy. Alterations to existing facade glazing. Reorganisation and provision of car and cycle parking, hard and soft landscaping works and associated development.) The application seeks to amend the wording of Conditions 5 (details of lighting) and 7 (decking details) to compliance conditions and to amend the wording of Condition 6 (contamination).
Pending
80208/APP/2026/2301
Loft extension including constructing a rear dormer, hip to gable and insertion of roof light in the front slope of the pitched roof (Application for a Certificate of Lawful Development for a Proposed Development)
Approved

View Planning Timeline