The Fir Tree, 3 Greenbury Close, Chorleywood, Rickmansworth, WD3 5QT

UPRN:10090792013Detached Property4 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band GEPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Fir Tree, 3 Greenbury Close, Chorleywood, Rickmansworth, WD3 5QT

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

14 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£1,149,000

£1.03M - £1.26MMedium

Estimate

£1.15M

Range

£1.03M – £1.26M

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,800

£3k - £4k

Monthly

£3,800

Yield

3.97%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Fir Tree earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (67/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

5/ 100

Low

Walkability

67/ 100

Moderate

Transit & Bike

Transit 23Bike 41

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.1% (MEDIUM)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (MEDIUM confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090792013· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 4.0%; range width penalty ×0.70
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3800/mo (range 3300-4250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -2,189/mo, -58% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 290 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity12.8/15
365 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£862,500£1,322,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£1,150,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,800/mo

Evidenced range £3,300-£4,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £405,050
Net cash flow: -£1,250/mo
Cash on cash: -3.7%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.98 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090792013Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3800/mo (range 3300-4250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3800/mo (range 3300-4250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 290 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£1,149,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,800

Gross Yield3.97%

1y Growth-3.1%

3y Growth+0.6%

5y Growth+1.9%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0WD3 5QT

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/1700/FUL
Construction of a single storey rear extension and alterations to the patio
Pending
26/1699/NMA
Non-material amendment pursuant to planning permission 25/0606/RSP to allow alterations to decking area
Pending
26/1672/FUL
Demolition of existing conservatory; construction of part-single part-two storey rear and side and front extensions; loft conversion including increase in ridge height with rear dormer; installation of side roof lights and solar panels; alterations to front porch; erection of rear balcony and Juliet balcony; alterations to the fenestration; alterations to external materials; internal alterations
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership61.8%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£39,615

Population Density1,670 /km²

Owner Occupied89%

Age Distribution

0-15 20%16-64 57%65+ 23%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

The Russell School
0.3 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St Clement Danes School
0.6 mi
Outstanding
Chorleywood Primary School
0.8 mi
-
Christ Church Chorleywood CofE School
0.8 mi
Outstanding

5 of 13 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

15 Greenbury Close
-
£975k
-
7 Greenbury Close
-
£785k
-
2 Greenbury Close
-
£810k
-
6 Greenbury Close
-
£800k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN