40A Bar End Road, Winchester, SO23 9NP

UPRN:10090843573Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt 1983-1990

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (73)

Data freshness:Listing· freshOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£209,000

£199k - £219kHigh

Estimate

£209k

Range

£199k – £219k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,000

£900 - £1k

Monthly

£1,000

Yield

5.71%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

40A Bar End Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 79/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is good (73/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

79/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

22/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

73/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 64

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -4.5%, £/sqft -4.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090843573· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.5%· as of 5 Nov 2026
Rental economics5.1/40
gross yield 5.7%; range width penalty ×0.90
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1050)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -281/mo, -28% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 129 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
257 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£157,500£241,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£210,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,000/mo

Evidenced range £900-£1,050

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £66,000
Net cash flow: -£16/mo
Cash on cash: -0.3%
Score at this price: 20

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.41 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10090843573Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 19.5%Valuation edge · as of 5 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1050)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1000/mo (range 900-1050)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£209,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,000

Gross Yield5.71%

1y Growth+10.1%

3y Growth-3.1%

5y Growth-1.1%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£208,500 (2021-09-30)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1SO23 9NP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02290/TPC
T1 & T2- Ash Trees. Permission to fell to ground level. The pair of trees have very poor form and asthetic value, and are also in very close proximity to the wall, with potential to cause damage. Signs of dieback have also been exhibited over the past 2 years, and there is a very busy road beneath the trees.
Pending
26/02291/TPC
T1 Sycamore - Crown lift to clear highway for bin lorries to avoid damage T2 Hazel - Remove tree growing up through Sycamore T3 & T4 Prunus - Reduce overhanging branches by 1m to clear garden T5 Prunus - Remove diseased & decayed tree above shed. Bracket at base, decayed main stem
Pending
26/02284/TPO
sycamore - reduce height and thin some side branches due to excessive shading
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership52.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining111 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2021-09-30
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£38,352

Population Density949 /km²

Owner Occupied58%

Age Distribution

0-15 17%16-64 58%65+ 25%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

All Saints Church of England Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Winchester College
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
The Pilgrims School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
Winnall Primary School
0.6 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

1 of 6 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

57 Bar End Road
-
£340k
-
37 Bar End Road
-
£368k
-
85 Bar End Road
-
£645k
-
51 Bar End Road
-
£350k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN