Flat 3, 31 Commercial Road, Newport, NP20 2PB

UPRN:10090952879Flat/MaisonetteBeds -Built 1900-1929

Tenure: -Council Tax: Band AEPC: C (75)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· 1mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· freshAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Flat 3, 31 Commercial Road, Newport, NP20 2PB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£78,000

£62k - £93kLow

Estimate

£78k

Range

£62k – £93k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£350

£300 - £400

Monthly

£350

Yield

7.64%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 3 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 49/100. Investment score 64/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)ONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

49/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

64/ 100

Moderate

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence1 independent sourceLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the estimate sits 30% above the ask. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [sold-comps +51.8%, £/sqft +52.0%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; AVM excluded (estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor)
estimate confidence LOW below scoring floor · snapshot 10 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.8%· as of 7 Nov 2026
Rental economics13.3/40
gross yield 7.6%; range width penalty ×0.63; the estimate this rent rides on sits 30% above the ask - check the rent describes the advertised home
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 350/mo (range 300-400)· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
- valuation_snapshotssale estimate 30% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -105/mo, -30% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 48 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity9.3/15
489 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 40%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£41,000£63,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£54,950

At the asking price

Monthly rent£350/mo

Evidenced range £300-£400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £17,786
Net cash flow: £57/mo
Cash on cash: 3.8%
Score at this price: 25

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.89 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 18.8%Valuation edge · as of 7 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 350/mo (range 300-400)Rental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
valuation_snapshotssale estimate 30% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this homeRental economics · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 350/mo (range 300-400)
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
sale estimate 30% above the ask on the same snapshot - verify the rent describes this home

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The market estimate this rent rides on sits far above the asking price, so the rent may describe a different home.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£78,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£350

Gross Yield7.64%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.4%

5y Growth+2.6%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP20 2PB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0837
CONSTRUCTION OF A DROPPED KERB TO CREATE A NEW VEHICULAR ACCESS AND DRIVEWAY
Pending
26/0817
CHANGE OF USE FROM 5NO. BEDROOM DWELLING TO A 5NO. BEDROOM HMO AND NEW DORMER WINDOWS
Pending
26/0812
INSTALLATION OF DEFIBRILLATOR AND BLEED KIT CABINETS TO EXTERNAL WALL OF NATIONWIDE BUILDING SOCIETY BRANCH
Pending

View Planning Timeline