1 Lynde Lodge, Butterwick Way, Welwyn, AL6 9GN

UPRN:10091065337Purpose Built Flat1 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

1 Lynde Lodge, Butterwick Way, Welwyn, AL6 9GN

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£299,000

£284k - £314kHigh

Estimate

£299k

Range

£284k – £314k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

5.38%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

1 Lynde Lodge earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 58/100. Investment score 61/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (3/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

58/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

61/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

34/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

3/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 2Bike 27

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +3.0% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091065337· as of 12 Oct 2026
Rental economics2.7/40
gross yield 5.4%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -398/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 96 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
98 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£217,500£333,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£290,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,200-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £92,800
Net cash flow: -£79/mo
Cash on cash: -1.0%
Score at this price: 17

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.33 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091065337Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£299,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield5.38%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.8%

5y Growth+0.4%

10y Growth+1.4%

Last Sold Price£147,500 (2021-03-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0AL6 9GN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

6/2026/1854/EMT
3 x Lawson Cypress to remove to ground level
Pending
6/2026/1852/EM
Erection of a single storey rear extension, re-tiling and installation of solar panels to the main roof, and installation of an air sourced heat pump in the garden
Pending
6/2026/1453/COND
Submission of details pursuant to Condition 1 (Biodiversity Gain Plan), Condition 2 (Habitat Management and Monitoring Plan) and Condition 3 (Construction Environmental Management Plan) on planning permission 6/2026/0205/MAJ
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership71.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining141 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2021-03-26
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

15 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£37,805

Population Density-

Owner Occupied54%

Age Distribution

0-15 23%16-64 61%65+ 16%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Welwyn St Mary's Church of England Voluntary Aided Primary School
0.6 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Monk's Walk School
0.6 mi
Good
Tenterfield Nursery School
0.7 mi
Outstanding
Knightsfield School
0.7 mi
-

4 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Lynde Lodge Butterwick Way
-
£375k
-
Lynde Lodge Butterwick Way
-
£483k
-
Lynde Lodge Butterwick Way
-
£509k
-
Lynde Lodge Butterwick Way
-
£510k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN