21 Lancer Street, Colchester, CO2 7FS

UPRN:10091123783Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: C (76)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£242,000

£230k - £254kHigh

Estimate

£242k

Range

£230k – £254k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,600

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,600

Yield

8.00%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

21 Lancer Street earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 58/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is good (76/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

58/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

58/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

94/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

76/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 20Bike 69

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 31 Oct 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +0.8% (HIGH), sold-comps +11.4%, £/sqft +11.4%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091123783· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.8%· as of 20 Oct 2026
Rental economics24/40
gross yield 8.0%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1550-1700)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin2.1/30
stressed cash flow +34/mo, +2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 31 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 373 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 31 Oct 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
382 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £192,000

£180,000£276,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£240,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,600/mo

Evidenced range £1,550-£1,700

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £75,600
Net cash flow: £298/mo
Cash on cash: 4.7%
Score at this price: 43

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.98 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091123783Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.8%Valuation edge · as of 20 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1600/mo (range 1550-1700)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 31 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 31 Oct 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1600/mo (range 1550-1700)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £192,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£242,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,600

Gross Yield8.00%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.6%

5y Growth+2.8%

10y Growth+3.5%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CO2 7FS

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

261894
Application for a lawful development certificate for proposed demolition of existing rear conservatory, erection of single storey rear extension
Pending
261848
x 1 Sycamore (S1) to have crown reduced back to most recent previous points (leaving a flowing branch line where possible).
Pending
261841
** REVISED DESCRIPTION ** Variation of Conditions 2 and 5 of Planning Permission 242060 for the 'repair and redevelopment of Jumbo to createa multifunctional heritage interpretation & private hire event space. Partial ground floor infill, new staircase &
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership55.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining114 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

8 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£31,589

Population Density-

Owner Occupied53%

Age Distribution

0-15 21%16-64 68%65+ 11%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Hamilton Primary School
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Colchester Prep & High School
0.3 mi
Inspected by ISI
Colchester Royal Grammar School
0.3 mi
Report card2026
Ofsted no longer awards a single overall grade.
St John's Green Primary School
0.5 mi
Good

3 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

35 Lancer Street
-
£68k
-
17 Lancer Street
-
£365k
-
23 Lancer Street
-
£90k
-
1 Lancer Street
-
£295k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN