7 Castle House, Castle Bailey, Colchester, CO1 1FA

UPRN:10091124137Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (85)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

7 Castle House, Castle Bailey, Colchester, CO1 1FA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£321,000

£305k - £337kHigh

Estimate

£321k

Range

£305k – £337k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,800

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,800

Yield

6.65%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

7 Castle House earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 64/100. Investment score 67/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is excellent (97/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

64/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

67/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

91/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

97/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 40Bike 75

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -1.2% (HIGH), sold-comps -47.7%, £/sqft -48.0%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091124137· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.8%· as of 28 Oct 2026
Rental economics12.1/40
gross yield 6.6%; range width penalty ×0.92
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1900)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -178/mo, -10% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 218 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
249 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£244,000£374,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£325,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,800/mo

Evidenced range £1,650-£1,900

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £105,050
Net cash flow: £149/mo
Cash on cash: 1.7%
Score at this price: 27

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.64 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091124137Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 16.8%Valuation edge · as of 28 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1900)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1800/mo (range 1650-1900)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£321,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,800

Gross Yield6.65%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-0.6%

5y Growth+1.4%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CO1 1FA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

261846
Application to discharge condition 4 (roof tile details) to application 261344.
Pending
261841
** REVISED DESCRIPTION ** Variation of Conditions 2 and 5 of Planning Permission 242060 for the 'repair and redevelopment of Jumbo to createa multifunctional heritage interpretation & private hire event space. Partial ground floor infill, new staircase &
Pending
261824
**** Revised Description ****Listed building application for Repair and redevelopment of Jumbo to create a multifunctional heritage interpretation and private hire event space. Partial ground floor infill, new staircase and lift from ground level, new s
Pending

View Planning Timeline