Flat 10, 12 Old Mill Street, Manchester, M4 6DZ

UPRN:10091144614Purpose Built Flat2 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: B (85)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 10, 12 Old Mill Street, Manchester, M4 6DZ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£292,000

£278k - £307kHigh

Estimate

£292k

Range

£278k – £307k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

5.44%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 10 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is excellent (93/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

No data

Walkability

93/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 77Bike 52

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -28.4% (HIGH), sold-comps -31.1%, £/sqft -31.1%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091144614· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 16.3%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics3.2/40
gross yield 5.4%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -742/mo, -44% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
279 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£281,000£431,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£375,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £122,550
Net cash flow: -£89/mo
Cash on cash: -0.9%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.34 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091144614Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 8 comps, dispersion 16.3%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 66 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£292,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield5.44%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-9.8%

5y Growth-3.1%

10y Growth+3.3%

Last Sold Price£280,000 (2019-11-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonModerate
MiningSignificant
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0M4 6DZ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

OTH-2026-002172
Discharge of Condition 27a (Highway Works) attached to Planning Permission PLA-2026-001348.
Pending
OTH-2026-002049
Discharge of Condition 10a (Ground Conditions) attached to Planning Permission PLA-2026-001348.
Pending
OTH-2026-002124
Discharge of Condition 7 (CMP) attached to Planning Permission PLA-2026-001348.
Approved

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership12.4%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining229 yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2019-11-29
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£30,067

Population Density7,448 /km²

Owner Occupied45%

Age Distribution

0-15 7%16-64 90%65+ 3%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Co-op Academy New Islington
0.1 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
St Anne's RC Primary School
0.3 mi
-
Sol Christian Academy
0.5 mi
Good
St Patrick's RC Primary School, a Voluntary Academy
0.6 mi
Inspected as St Patrick's RC Primary School (URN 105535) on 16 Nov 2021

1 of 7 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

12 Old Mill Street
-
£295k
-
12 Old Mill Street
-
£275k
-
12 Old Mill Street
-
£184k
-
12 Old Mill Street
-
£280k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN