29 Tan y Bryn Gardens, Llwydcoed, Aberdare, CF44 0TQ

UPRN:10091206276Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 5mo ago

29 Tan y Bryn Gardens, Llwydcoed, Aberdare, CF44 0TQ

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£313,000

£298k - £329kHigh

Estimate

£313k

Range

£298k – £329k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,350

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,350

Yield

5.14%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

29 Tan y Bryn Gardens earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 82/100. Investment score 75/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

82/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

75/ 100

High

Crime Score

21/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 9 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.6% (HIGH), sold-comps -1.6%, £/sqft -1.6%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 11 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091206276· as of 11 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.8%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics0.9/40
gross yield 5.1%; range width penalty ×0.83
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1500)· as of 11 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -467/mo, -35% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 9 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 163 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 9 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
428 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£236,000£362,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£315,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,350/mo

Evidenced range £1,250-£1,500

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £101,550
Net cash flow: -£129/mo
Cash on cash: -1.5%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.27 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091206276Valuation edge · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.8%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1500)Rental economics · as of 11 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 9 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 9 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1350/mo (range 1250-1500)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 163 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£313,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,350

Gross Yield5.14%

1y Growth-26.9%

3y Growth+1.8%

5y Growth+4.8%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price£165,000 (2015-05-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF44 0TQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0823/FUL
Retrospective planning permission is sought for the retention of a rear dormer loft extension, together with the retention of a boundary fence measuring approximately 2m to 2.2m in height.
Pending
26/0653/TPO
Felling, maintenance work, reduction, thinning as per attached tree report
Pending
26/0344/NMA
Non-material amendment application to make minor changes to Caswell House Type (plots 3, 4 & 5) of Planning Permission Ref. 23/1255/FUL
Decided

View Planning Timeline