32 Cotton Square, Lancaster, LA1 5US

UPRN:10091521933Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2012-2021

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: A (92)

Data freshness:Listing· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

4 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

20 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£358,000

£340k - £376kHigh

Estimate

£358k

Range

£340k – £376k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,450

£1k - £2k

Monthly

£1,450

Yield

5.19%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

32 Cotton Square earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 65/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (20/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

65/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

29/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

20/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 39

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 5 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +6.4% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091521933· as of 9 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.3/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.86
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -478/mo, -33% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 69 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
543 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£251,000£385,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£335,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,450/mo

Evidenced range £1,350-£1,600

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £108,550
Net cash flow: -£127/mo
Cash on cash: -1.4%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10091521933Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1450/mo (range 1350-1600)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£358,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,450

Gross Yield5.19%

1y Growth+180.7%

3y Growth+1.6%

5y Growth+2.2%

10y Growth+1.7%

Last Sold Price£325,000 (2022-08-12)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1LA1 5US

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01043/FUL
Installation of a replacement fence and removal of leylandii hedge
Pending
26/01026/PLDC
Proposed lawful development certificate for the erection of a single storey rear extension
Pending
26/01005/FUL
Construction of outdoor padel courts with canopies, boundary fencing and associated clubhouse facility
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership70.2%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining142 yrs
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2022-08-12
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

13 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,651

Population Density1,408 /km²

Owner Occupied70%

Age Distribution

0-15 19%16-64 69%65+ 12%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Willow Lane Community Primary School
0.3 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Appletree Nursery School
0.3 mi
GoodConcerns
Lancaster Independent School for Alternative Learning (Lisal)
0.4 mi
Good
The Loyne Specialist School
0.7 mi
Outstanding

3 of 9 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

10 Cotton Square
-
£345k
-
27 Cotton Square
-
£76k
-
33 Cotton Square
-
£75k
-
7 Cotton Square
-
£330k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN