Flat 15, Union House, 23 Clayton Road, Hayes, UB3 1AA

UPRN:10092981869Flat/Maisonette3 bedsBuilt 2012-2021

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band DEPC: C (72)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 5mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Flat 15, Union House, 23 Clayton Road, Hayes, UB3 1AA

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£349,000

£331k - £366kHigh

Estimate

£349k

Range

£331k – £366k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

5.83%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 15 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 66/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is good (82/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

66/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

64/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

82/ 100

High

Transit & Bike

Transit 46Bike 64

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.3% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10092981869· as of 9 Nov 2026
Rental economics6/40
gross yield 5.8%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)· as of 9 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -361/mo, -21% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 253 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
268 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£262,500£402,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£350,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,600-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £113,800
Net cash flow: -£4/mo
Cash on cash: -0.0%
Score at this price: 21

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.44 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10092981869Valuation edge · as of 9 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)Rental economics · as of 9 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1600-1850)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
service charge / ground rent from the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£349,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield5.83%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+4.4%

5y Growth+2.0%

10y Growth+5.1%

Last Sold Price£367,500 (2016-03-07)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0UB3 1AA

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

72811/APP/2026/2539
Erection of a first floor rear extension.
Pending
80332/APP/2026/2536
Erection of a single-storey rear extension
Pending
78423/APP/2026/2506
Details pursuant to the discharge of Conditions 7 (Materials), 8 (Soft Landscaping) and 9 (Hardscaping) of planning permission ref. 78423/APP/2023/3486, dated 18-06-24 (Erection of a 4no. bedroom dwellinghouse) (appeal ref. APP/R5510/W/24/3351583, dated 31/01/25)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership57.6%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining999+ yrs
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeLeasehold
Last Ownership Change2016-03-07
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)

16 Mbps

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£36,429

Population Density13,369 /km²

Owner Occupied13%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 78%65+ 4%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Botwell House Catholic Primary School
0.2 mi
Good
Global Academy
0.2 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Lake Farm Park Academy
0.5 mi
Good
Cranford Park Academy
0.7 mi
Good

2 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

Union House, 23 Clayton Road
-
£265k
-
Union House, 23 Clayton Road
-
£270k
-
Union House, 23 Clayton Road
-
£318k
-
Union House, 23 Clayton Road
-
£360k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN