The Horse Shoes, 141 High Street, Billericay, CM12 9AB

UPRN:10093029987Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt -

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (74)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPrice Paid· freshPlanning· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 1mo agoArea· Census 2021

The Horse Shoes, 141 High Street, Billericay, CM12 9AB

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

today

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£479,000

£455k - £503kHigh

Estimate

£479k

Range

£455k – £503k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,100

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,100

Yield

1.26%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

The Horse Shoes earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 83/100. Investment score 69/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is excellent (95/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

83/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

69/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

24/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

95/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 17Bike 45

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 4 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: the advert has 14 bedrooms but the valuation snapshot describes 2 - an extension, conversion or HMO the evidence does not reflect, or a different home. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -317.5% (HIGH), sold-comps -498.8%, £/sqft -498.9%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 9 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093029987· as of 9 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24%· as of 5 Nov 2026
Rental economics0/40
gross yield 1.3%; range width penalty ×0.91
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1950-2250)· as of 9 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -7,024/mo, -334% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 4 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 289 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 4 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
253 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£1,500,000£2,000,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£2,000,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,100/mo

Evidenced range £1,950-£2,250

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £755,050
Net cash flow: -£5,296/mo
Cash on cash: -8.4%
Score at this price: 13

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 0.31 - below the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093029987Valuation edge · as of 9 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24%Valuation edge · as of 5 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2100/mo (range 1950-2250)Rental economics · as of 9 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 4 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 4 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2100/mo (range 1950-2250)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 289 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£479,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,100

Gross Yield1.26%

1y Growth+284.6%

3y Growth+2.1%

5y Growth+0.2%

10y Growth+2.4%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

2CM12 9AB

Approval Rate

50%12mo

Development

low

26/01181/LDCP
To establish the lawfulness of use of ground floor and 2 basement rooms as Class E.
Pending
26/01178/FULL
Demolition of the existing bungalow and the construction of a pair of semi-detached houses (two storeys with rooms in the roof), layout parking to front, amenity space and landscaping.
Pending
26/01161/ABAS
Externally illuminated (by trough light) shop sign.
Pending

View Planning Timeline