10 Lavender Lane, Great Denham, Bedford, MK40 4SB

UPRN:10093200454Flat/Maisonette2 bedsBuilt 2012-2021

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (80)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 1mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

10 Lavender Lane, Great Denham, Bedford, MK40 4SB

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£217,000

£206k - £228kHigh

Estimate

£217k

Range

£206k – £228k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,150

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,150

Yield

5.31%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

10 Lavender Lane earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 68/100. Investment score 68/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is limited (12/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

68/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

68/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

14/ 100

Low

Walkability

12/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 7Bike 42

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 10 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge-1.6/15
claims [AVM -19.8% (HIGH), sold-comps -23.8%, £/sqft -23.6%] → measured edge -0.33pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp; asking more than 10% above the estimate (measured -0.33pp)
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093200454· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.7%· as of 4 Nov 2026
Rental economics2.3/40
gross yield 5.3%; range width penalty ×0.94
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1200)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -430/mo, -37% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 10 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 51 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 10 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
380 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£195,000£299,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£260,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,150/mo

Evidenced range £1,050-£1,200

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £82,300
Net cash flow: -£81/mo
Cash on cash: -1.2%
Score at this price: 15

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.31 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093200454Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 9.7%Valuation edge · as of 4 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1200)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 10 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 10 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1150/mo (range 1050-1200)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 51 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£217,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,150

Gross Yield5.31%

1y Growth+10.0%

3y Growth+2.8%

5y Growth+2.4%

10y Growth+4.6%

Last Sold Price£220,000 (2022-01-28)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0MK40 4SB

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/01591/PIP
Permission in Principle for the erection of up to 3 dwellings.
Pending
26/00491/LDP
Certificate to confirm that the details submitted do not require planning permission (loft conversion with dormer extension and rooflights)
Approved
26/00428/COU
The change of use of the former greenkeepers maintenance building and storage compound (Use Class F2(c)) to Use Class E(g)
Pending

View Planning Timeline