Flat 11, 25 Swan Crescent, Newport, NP19 4BP

UPRN:10093294479Flat/MaisonetteBeds -Built 2012-2021

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: C (80)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

Flat 11, 25 Swan Crescent, Newport, NP19 4BP

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£137,000

£130k - £143kHigh

Estimate

£137k

Range

£130k – £143k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£800

£750 - £850

Monthly

£800

Yield

6.86%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat 11 earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 75/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

75/ 100

High

Crime Score

25/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 3 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -2.2% (HIGH), sold-comps -13.8%, £/sqft -14.1%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093294479· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.2%· as of 1 Nov 2026
Rental economics14.1/40
gross yield 6.9%; range width penalty ×0.95
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -205/mo, -26% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; disclosed service charge and ground rent); fails the stress - earns nothing
- listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advert· as of 3 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 38 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 3 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
631 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 9%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£105,000£161,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£140,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£800/mo

Evidenced range £750-£850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £43,600
Net cash flow: £81/mo
Cash on cash: 2.2%
Score at this price: 29

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.69 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093294479Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.2%Valuation edge · as of 1 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
listing_factsservice charge / ground rent from the advertStress margin · as of 3 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 3 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 800/mo (range 750-850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 38 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£137,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£800

Gross Yield6.86%

1y Growth-21.6%

3y Growth+2.6%

5y Growth+3.5%

10y Growth+5.2%

Last Sold Price£89,995 (2017-03-01)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0NP19 4BP

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0780
REMOVAL AND REPLACEMENT OF EXISTING NET FACILITY, RESURFACING, REPLACEMENT POSTS AND OTHER ASSOCIATED WORKS
Pending
26/0777
S73 APPLICATION TO VARY CONDITION 1 (APPROVED PLANS) OF 25/0869 PROPOSED SINGLE STOREY SIDE EXTENSION. AMENDMENTS INCLUDE ALTERATIONS TO ROOF DESIGN
Pending
26/0756
SINGLE STOREY GRANNY ANNEX
Pending

View Planning Timeline