3 Manley Road, Winchester, SO22 6FN

UPRN:10093386482Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: B (87)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£674,000

£640k - £708kHigh

Estimate

£674k

Range

£640k – £708k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£4,100

£4k - £4k

Monthly

£4,100

Yield

7.63%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

3 Manley Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 63/100. Investment score 62/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Walkability is limited (16/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

63/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

62/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

34/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

16/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 16Bike 37

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Reduced confidence2 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

Fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +4.3% (HIGH), sold-comps -8.4%, £/sqft -8.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093386482· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.2%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics20.1/40
gross yield 7.6%; range width penalty ×0.96
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4100/mo (range 3850-4350)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin4/30
stressed cash flow +162/mo, +4% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
278 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £500,000

£484,000£742,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£645,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£4,100/mo

Evidenced range £3,850-£4,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £217,050
Net cash flow: £662/mo
Cash on cash: 3.7%
Score at this price: 39

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.88 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093386482Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 24.2%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 4100/mo (range 3850-4350)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is reduced
fewer independent sources agree, or a component could not be scored
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 4100/mo (range 3850-4350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 50 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £500,000 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£674,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£4,100

Gross Yield7.63%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-4.5%

5y Growth-2.2%

10y Growth+1.4%

Last Sold Price£543,500 (2019-04-29)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0SO22 6FN

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/02321/NMA
Non-material amendment to plans approved pursuant to the discharge of conditions 5 and 11 of the reserved matters approval Ref. 19/01983/REM (Phase 3Aii) to replace brick screen walls around apartment block parking with hedgerow planting.
Pending
26/02323/NMA
Non-material amendment to condition 7 of planning permission 19/02124/REM to amend the timescale for occupation of the park and ride facility from 650 to 1,000 occupations on the site.
Pending
26/02322/NMA
Non-material amendment to condition 36 of planning permission 13/01694/FUL to amend the timescale for occupation of the park and ride facility from 650 to 1,000 occupations on the site.
Pending

View Planning Timeline