Flat, 9, 1–3 Ashby Road, London, SE4 1PR

UPRN:10093391277Flat/Maisonette3 bedsBuilt 2012-2021

LeaseholdCouncil Tax: Band BEPC: B (82)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 2mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

Flat, 9, 1–3 Ashby Road, London, SE4 1PR

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

19 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£689,000

£655k - £723kHigh

Estimate

£689k

Range

£655k – £723k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£3,050

£3k - £3k

Monthly

£3,050

Yield

5.63%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

Flat earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 78/100. Investment score 75/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is excellent (89/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is leasehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

78/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

75/ 100

High

Crime Score

43/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

89/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 53Bike 77

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesLead to verifyListing checked 12 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Check before relying on this score: leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress test assumes GBP 0. It ranks after every home whose inputs are verified.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +5.7% (HIGH), sold-comps -139.0%, £/sqft -138.6%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 14 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093391277· as of 14 Nov 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.5%· as of 13 Nov 2026
Rental economics4.4/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.87
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2800-3300)· as of 14 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -630/mo, -21% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing; leasehold with no service charge disclosed - the stress assumes GBP 0
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 12 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 43 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 12 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.7/15
243 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£487,500£747,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£649,995

At the asking price

Monthly rent£3,050/mo

Evidenced range £2,800-£3,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £218,799
Net cash flow: -£82/mo
Cash on cash: -0.5%
Score at this price: 19

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.39 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093391277Valuation edge · as of 14 Nov 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 17.5%Valuation edge · as of 13 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 3050/mo (range 2800-3300)Rental economics · as of 14 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 12 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 12 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 3050/mo (range 2800-3300)
Stress margin needs verification before you rely on it
costs not disclosed by the advert

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£689,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,050

Gross Yield5.63%

1y Growth-19.4%

3y Growth+2.1%

5y Growth+0.4%

10y Growth+2.3%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceSignificant
RadonLow
MiningModerate
LandslideModerate
Air QualityLow
NoiseLow

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

4SE4 1PR

Approval Rate

66.7%12mo

Development

low

DC/26/146000
Schedule 1 application for a Lawful Development Certificate (proposed) submitted under Section 191/2 of the Town & Country Planning Act 1990 (as amended) and Classes B & C of Schedule 2, Part 1 of the Town and Country Planning (General Permitted Development) (England) Order 2015 (as amended) for the construction of a single storey rear dormer extension and three front rooflights.
Pending
DC/26/145981
Schedule 1 application single storey side-infill & rear extension and all associated works to the ground floor flat at 4 Avignon Road, SE4
Pending
DC/26/145980
Schedule 1 application for discharge of details submitted pursuant to Condition 5(a)-Window, Door and Chimney Details of planning permission DC/23/131763 dated 27th July 2023 at 30 Deptford High Street SE8.
Pending

View Planning Timeline