22D Pavilion Road, Worthing, BN14 7EF

UPRN:10093722808Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: -

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 6mo agoOwnership· freshRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£482,000

£458k - £506kHigh

Estimate

£482k

Range

£458k – £506k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£2,200

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£2,200

Yield

5.56%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

22D Pavilion Road earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 63/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is very low. Walkability is excellent (85/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesPortal listingsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)Defra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

63/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

13/ 100

Low

Walkability

85/ 100

Excellent

Transit & Bike

Transit 29Bike 68

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +1.5% (HIGH)] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 11 Nov 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093722808· as of 11 Nov 2026
Rental economics3.9/40
gross yield 5.6%; range width penalty ×0.88
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2350)· as of 11 Nov 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -517/mo, -23% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 72 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
282 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£356,000£546,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£475,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£2,200/mo

Evidenced range £2,000-£2,350

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £157,550
Net cash flow: -£80/mo
Cash on cash: -0.6%
Score at this price: 18

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.37 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10093722808Valuation edge · as of 11 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2350)Rental economics · as of 11 Nov 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026
property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity

Sold comparables in depth

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 2200/mo (range 2000-2350)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 0 price cut(s), 72 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£482,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£2,200

Gross Yield5.56%

1y Growth-

3y Growth-1.4%

5y Growth+1.2%

10y Growth+3.0%

Last Sold Price-

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonModerate
MiningLow
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1BN14 7EF

Approval Rate

100%12mo

Development

low

AWDM/1325/26
Section 211 Notice under the Town and Country Planning Act 1990 Crown lift to 5m over pathway / road T13 Bay in the Heene Conservation Area.
Pending
AWDM/1310/26
Application for consent under Worthing Tree Preservation Order number TPO 39 of 1980 - T10 Oak and 2x conifer, 4x sycamore, 1x yew in G2 Crown lift to 5m over pathway / road
Pending
AWDM/1311/26
Second-floor roof extension to northwest corner of building; three pitched roof dormers to the rear (north) elevation (replacing existing rooflights)
Pending

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership61.9%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsRestrictive
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change-
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£32,823

Population Density-

Owner Occupied62%

Age Distribution

0-15 18%16-64 69%65+ 13%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Worthing High School
0.2 mi
Inspected as Worthing High School (URN 126090) on 22 Jun 2011
Heene CofE Primary School
0.3 mi
Inspected as Heene CofE Primary School (URN 126034) on 5 Apr 2022
Brighton Forward Ltd
0.4 mi
-
St Mary's Catholic Primary School
0.4 mi
Good

3 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

42 Pavilion Road
-
£375k
-
54 Pavilion Road
-
£525k
-
62 Pavilion Road
-
£470k
-
16 Pavilion Road
-
£519k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN