9 Hay Close, Stockton-on-Tees, TS19 8GR

UPRN:10094059017Semi-Detached House3 bedsBuilt 2017

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band CEPC: B (84)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 3mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 5mo agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

2 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

18 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£180,000

£171k - £189kHigh

Estimate

£180k

Range

£171k – £189k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,250

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,250

Yield

8.33%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

9 Hay Close earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 57/100. Investment score 60/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is moderate. Walkability is limited (30/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry company ownershipHM Land Registry leasesHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

57/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

60/ 100

Moderate

Crime Score

51/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

30/ 100

Mixed

Transit & Bike

Transit 15Bike 32

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

High confidence3 independent sourcesListing checked 5 Nov 2026

Every component scored, and three or more independent sources agree.

Valuation edge2.5/15
claims [AVM +0.0% (HIGH), sold-comps +4.8%, £/sqft +4.5%] → measured edge +0.50pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094059017· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 2%· as of 6 Nov 2026
Rental economics26.7/40
gross yield 8.3%; range width penalty ×1.00
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1200-1300)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin2.4/30
stressed cash flow +29/mo, +2% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); passes the stress
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 5 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 159 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 5 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
333 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivityScores 70+ up to £148,500

£135,000£207,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£179,995

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,250/mo

Evidenced range £1,200-£1,300

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £56,399
Net cash flow: £258/mo
Cash on cash: 5.5%
Score at this price: 46

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 2.06 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094059017Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 2%Valuation edge · as of 6 Nov 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1250/mo (range 1200-1300)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 5 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 5 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1250/mo (range 1200-1300)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 159 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Set your walk-away price before viewing - above £148,500 the deal stops scoring well.
Computed by re-running the score at higher prices.
4. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£180,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,250

Gross Yield8.33%

1y Growth+5.3%

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+1.8%

10y Growth+1.9%

Last Sold Price£173,995 (2022-02-11)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseModerate

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

1TS19 8GR

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/2038/RET
Retrospective application for conservatory to the rear
Pending
26/1769/DCH
Information to discharge condition no19 (Conservation of the World War II Pillbox) of planning approval 13/2387/OUT - Outline application for proposed development of approximately 350 residential dwellings and associated access.
Pending
26/1578/DCH
Information to discharge condition No.9 (Biodiversity Management Plan) and No.11 (Construction Environmental Management Plan) of planning permission 23/1945/FUL - Siting of a battery storage facility, underground cable connection, ancillary equipment, fencing and associated landscaping and upgrade to existing access point.
Conditions

View Planning Timeline

Ownership

Corporate Ownership71.3%
Overseas OwnershipNo
Lease Term Remaining-
CovenantsNone
Lease TypeFreehold
Last Ownership Change2022-02-11
SourceLand Registry

View Ownership Details

Connectivity

Broadband (-)

Mobile 4G/5G Coverage

EEThreeO2Vodafone

EV Charger

PTAL Rating

View Connectivity Map

Area Profile

Median EarningsLocal authority£29,877

Population Density-

Owner Occupied42%

Age Distribution

0-15 23%16-64 62%65+ 15%

View Area Profile

Schools Nearby

Rosebrook Primary School
0.5 mi
Area grades2025
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Kiora Hall
0.6 mi
Good
Hardwick Green Primary Academy
0.7 mi
Area grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
Harrow Gate Academy
0.8 mi
GoodImproving

3 of 11 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2026 - demand, not a catchment.

View All Schools

Comparables

View All

22 Hay Close
-
£155k
-
3 Hay Close
-
£165k
-
15 Hay Close
-
£185k
-
25 Hay Close
-
£160k
-

Boundary data not available for this property

No registered title polygon, building footprint, or street match for this property yet.

Why: No HMLR INSPIRE / OSM footprint / OS Open USRN match for this UPRN

Source: HM Land Registry INSPIRE / OpenStreetMap / OS Open USRN