15 Kingston Way, Yarm, TS15 9ZJ

UPRN:10094059370Detached House4 bedsBuilt 2012-2021

FreeholdCouncil Tax: Band EEPC: A (94)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoOwnership· freshEPC· 3mo agoRisk· 5mo agoCrime· freshConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021Council Tax· 1mo ago

HP Score

/ 100

Mixed

Verdict

yesterday

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Mixed signals - investigate

Evidence

17 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£398,000

£378k - £418kHigh

Estimate

£398k

Range

£378k – £418k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,700

£2k - £2k

Monthly

£1,700

Yield

5.23%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Kingston Way earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 44/100. Investment score 52/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Crime intensity is elevated. Walkability is limited (19/100). Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressDefra strategic noise mapping, England Round 4 (Contains Defra data © Crown copyright and database right 2023-2024, Open Government Licence v3.0)Walk ScoreONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

44/ 100

Mixed

Investment Score

52/ 100

Moderate

100

Crime Score

100/ 100

Elevated

Walkability

19/ 100

Low

Transit & Bike

Transit 14Bike 46

Walk Score, out of 100

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 11 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM +2.0% (HIGH), sold-comps -21.1%, £/sqft -21.3%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 13 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094059370· as of 13 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13%· as of 31 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.6/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.85
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1850)· as of 13 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -526/mo, -31% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 11 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 107 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 11 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
203 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£292,500£448,500

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£390,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,700/mo

Evidenced range £1,550-£1,850

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £127,800
Net cash flow: -£139/mo
Cash on cash: -1.3%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.29 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094059370Valuation edge · as of 13 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 12 comps, dispersion 13%Valuation edge · as of 31 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1850)Rental economics · as of 13 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 11 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 11 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1700/mo (range 1550-1850)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 107 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Treat the gap to the estimate as unproven - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
On later completions, homes listed below their estimate sold at the same share of the asking price as the rest.
4. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£398,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,700

Gross Yield5.23%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+0.0%

5y Growth+1.3%

10y Growth+2.8%

Last Sold Price£362,495 (2021-02-26)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceModerate
RadonLow
MiningUnknown
LandslideLow
Air QualityLow
NoiseBelow 40 dB

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0TS15 9ZJ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

24/1770/NMC
Non material amendment to planning approval 24/1770/VARY (Amendments to the description of development and to condition 1 to allow the substitution of house type - Windsor to Wavendone on Plots 82 and 83, 88 and 89, 92 and 93, 101 and 102.) Revised Description : Section 73 application to vary conditions no1 (Approved Plans), no5 (Soft Landscaping) and no6 (Soft Landscape Management and Maintenance) of planning approval 22/1846/REM - Reserved matters application for the layout, scale, appearance and landscaping for up to 246no residential dwellings, including landscape, open space and infrastructure.
Approved
26/1881/OHL
Exemption notice to replace and re-locate an existing pole less than 1m from its existing position.
Pending
26/1712/TNOT
Notice under regulation 5 of electronic communications code regulations for the installation of 1No. cabinet.
Conditions

View Planning Timeline