15 Llys Clarence, Aberdare, CF44 6EQ

UPRN:10094100121Detached House3 bedsBuilt -

FreeholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (83)

Data freshness:Listing· freshPlanning· 4mo agoEPC· 6mo agoRisk· 2y agoConnectivity· 1mo agoSchools· 1mo agoAmenities· 2mo agoArea· Census 2021

HP Score

/ 100

Strong

Verdict

3 days ago

Verdict: INVESTIGATE, on a scale of Buy, Investigate, Avoid.
Strong fundamentals; flood risk not assessed

Evidence

16 of 21 sources

Sale Estimate

£298,000

£283k - £313kHigh

Estimate

£298k

Range

£283k – £313k

Rent Estimate (pcm)

£1,300

£1k - £1k

Monthly

£1,300

Yield

5.20%

Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

15 Llys Clarence earns an INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 80/100. Investment score 75/100 reflects strong fundamentals. Crime intensity is low. Flood risk is not assessed: check the Environment Agency long-term flood map before offering. Tenure is freehold. Every figure here comes from the live HomePortfolio API; anything it does not publish is left out.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterPortal listingsOfcom Connected NationsOfcom mobile coverageMarket estimates (third-party AVM)HM Land Registry sales matched to addressONS Census 2021Police.ukHM Land Registry covenantsHM Land Registry Price PaidPlanIt / council planning portalsOverture Maps PlacesOfsted / DfE GIAS

HP Score

80/ 100

Strong

Investment Score

75/ 100

High

Crime Score

20/ 100

Moderate

Walkability

No data

Transit & Bike

No data

Opportunity

Why this could be an opportunity

Low confidence0 independent sourcesListing checked 2 Nov 2026

This rests largely on a single source. Treat the score as a prompt to investigate, not a conclusion.

Valuation edge0/15
claims [AVM -0.7% (HIGH), sold-comps -18.6%, £/sqft -18.4%] → measured edge +0.00pp of the ask; on later-registered sales an AVM discount carried no edge and a sold-evidence gap at most +0.5pp
Market estimate used (HIGH confidence) · snapshot 12 Oct 2026
- valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094100121· as of 12 Oct 2026
- property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 7.8%· as of 30 Oct 2026
Rental economics1.4/40
gross yield 5.2%; range width penalty ×0.89
- valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)· as of 12 Oct 2026· verify before relying on this
Stress margin0/30
stressed cash flow -440/mo, -34% of rent (6.75% on a 75% loan; no service charge or ground rent disclosed); fails the stress - earns nothing
- underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advert· as of 2 Nov 2026
Seller motivationNot scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 181 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge
- portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 2 Nov 2026
Risk & liquidity14.6/15
428 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 10%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo

4 of 4 components scored. Ranks on gross yield, the stress margin, risk and disclosed facts. A pricing claim earns only its measured edge: today 0 for the market estimate and at most +0.5pp for sold evidence. The score itself is not yet checked against the outcomes of homes it scored.

Economics

What happens to your money

Price sensitivity

£225,000£345,000

The same scorer re-run at hypothetical asking prices, holding rent, comps and listing history constant. Not a prediction of what the seller would accept.

Your assumptions

Purchase price£300,000

At the asking price

Monthly rent£1,300/mo

Evidenced range £1,200-£1,400

Interest rate5.4%

Loan to value75%

Cash required: £96,300
Net cash flow: -£113/mo
Cash on cash: -1.4%
Score at this price: 16

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 1.28 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Evidence

Where every number comes from

valuation_snapshotsestimate for 10094100121Valuation edge · as of 12 Oct 2026
property_comparablessold-evidence family (implied value + £/sqft): 10 comps, dispersion 7.8%Valuation edge · as of 30 Oct 2026
valuation_snapshotsrent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)Rental economics · as of 12 Oct 2026 · verify before relying on this
underwriting_assumptionscosts not disclosed by the advertStress margin · as of 2 Nov 2026
portal_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 2 Nov 2026

Risks

What could kill this deal

Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics needs verification before you rely on it
rent estimate 1300/mo (range 1200-1400)
Seller motivation could not be scored
context, not scored: 1 price cut(s), 181 days on market; homes with a cut sold 0.2-0.3pp further below the cut ask, which is not an edge

Property risk deep-dive →

Plan

Before you offer

1. Get two written rental appraisals from local lettings agents.
The rent estimate rests on area-level evidence, not lettings on this street.
2. Ask the agent why the price was reduced and whether a previous sale fell through.
1 price cut(s) recorded on the listing history.
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£298,000

Rent Estimate (pcm)£1,300

Gross Yield5.20%

1y Growth-

3y Growth+1.8%

5y Growth+4.8%

10y Growth+4.7%

Last Sold Price£184,995 (2020-12-08)

View Market Details

Risk Overview

Flood RiskUnknown
SubsidenceLow
RadonLow
MiningLow
LandslideSignificant
Air QualityLow
NoiseWithheld

View Full Risk Report

Planning Activity

Recent Apps

0CF44 6EQ

Approval Rate

-12mo

Development

low

26/0916/FUL
Proposed improvement of an existing pathway at Cwmbach Wetlands, together with the construction of a 4x5m viewing platform.
Pending
26/0908/ADV
THE INSTALLATION OF 1 ILLUMINATED SURROUND SIGN AND 1 ILLUMINATED LOGO PANEL (RETROSPECTIVE)
Pending
26/0907/FUL
THE INSTALLATION OF AN ATM & ASSOCIATED SIGNAGE (retrospective)
Pending

View Planning Timeline